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LLUB.N0000 (CHEVRON LUBRICANTS LANKA PLC)

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Re: LLUB.N0000 (CHEVRON LUBRICANTS LANKA PLC)

Post by The Invisible on Wed Aug 09, 2017 12:57 pm

Chevron revenue is affected by the bad whether for the first half. Both the drought as well as floods have hit them. Still the country is facing the drought and you can understand the Q3 result as well.

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Re: LLUB.N0000 (CHEVRON LUBRICANTS LANKA PLC)

Post by කිත්සිරි ද සිල්වා on Wed Aug 09, 2017 1:05 pm

Time for this or time to grab more ?  Very Happy
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Re: LLUB.N0000 (CHEVRON LUBRICANTS LANKA PLC)

Post by The Invisible on Wed Aug 09, 2017 1:18 pm

Looks like LLUB can settle around 120-125 range ATM.
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Re: LLUB.N0000 (CHEVRON LUBRICANTS LANKA PLC)

Post by කිත්සිරි ද සිල්වා on Wed Aug 09, 2017 1:22 pm

Placed an order for 120 and let's see if I get lucky  Very Happy
The Invisible wrote:Looks like LLUB can settle around 120-125 range ATM.
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Re: LLUB.N0000 (CHEVRON LUBRICANTS LANKA PLC)

Post by Ethical Trader on Wed Aug 09, 2017 2:28 pm

Usually, published DY is calculated by dividing the price at the time of reporting(hypothetical as against actual individual purchase prices) by the last reported annual dividend. However, one can also find out his own DY by using the actual purchase price instead of a hypothetical price.

Yes, DY is a daily floating ratio. But dividend investors usually employ this method as a rule of thumb.
The Invisible wrote:DY is based on latest dividend  announcement?

Is it realistic for the future?

If we buy today then our DY will be dividends declared within one year from now divided by the cost to us now so that still we can enjoy the same DY?

If the Q3 and Q4 of LLUB result is the same then can you and me expect the same dividends compared to the last year?

The answer is not.
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Re: LLUB.N0000 (CHEVRON LUBRICANTS LANKA PLC)

Post by Ethical Trader on Wed Aug 09, 2017 2:43 pm

Below is the order book @ 2.36 PM today.

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See what a dynamic order book it is? Now more Bids(double) than Asks, but more bids are below Rs:127.00. Price may be either stable @ current rates or fall below 127.00.
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Re: LLUB.N0000 (CHEVRON LUBRICANTS LANKA PLC)

Post by Danidu on Wed Aug 09, 2017 2:48 pm

Yes, I think, 120-125 will be good if we can. Smile


කිත්සිරි ද සිල්වා wrote:Placed an order for 120 and let's see if I get lucky  Very Happy
The Invisible wrote:Looks like LLUB can settle around 120-125 range ATM.

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Re: LLUB.N0000 (CHEVRON LUBRICANTS LANKA PLC)

Post by Ethical Trader on Wed Aug 09, 2017 2:59 pm

Not impossible, but order book is soaring with more bidders. I wish you good luck.
කිත්සිරි ද සිල්වා wrote:Placed an order for 120 and let's see if I get lucky  Very Happy
The Invisible wrote:Looks like LLUB can settle around 120-125 range ATM.
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Re: LLUB.N0000 (CHEVRON LUBRICANTS LANKA PLC)

Post by The Invisible on Thu Aug 10, 2017 9:14 am

Due to the huge selling happened over the past few days LLUB fell into a deep oversold reason having an RSI of 2 which is an absolute oversold. Thus, I expect a quick turnaround towards 135-140 range in the very short term due to some expected bargain hunting.
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Re: LLUB.N0000 (CHEVRON LUBRICANTS LANKA PLC)

Post by Ethical Trader on Thu Aug 10, 2017 10:07 am

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Look at the LLUB order book @ 10.00 am today. Bids are lesser now! It fluctuates heavily.
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Re: LLUB.N0000 (CHEVRON LUBRICANTS LANKA PLC)

Post by කිත්සිරි ද සිල්වා on Thu Aug 10, 2017 10:35 am

Is this a sign of reversal ?  Very Happy

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Re: LLUB.N0000 (CHEVRON LUBRICANTS LANKA PLC)

Post by The Invisible on Thu Aug 10, 2017 10:45 am

The Invisible wrote:Due to the huge selling happened over the past few days LLUB fell into a deep oversold reason having an RSI of 2 which is an absolute oversold. Thus, I expect a quick turnaround towards 135-140 range in the very short term due to some expected bargain hunting.

Expecting a reversal in trend, at least for short term. Seems its on the way Very Happy
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Re: LLUB.N0000 (CHEVRON LUBRICANTS LANKA PLC)

Post by The Invisible on Thu Aug 10, 2017 3:18 pm

LLUB recovered to 133.50 and end the day's trading close on a strong note. Will be back to the target range tomorrow, most probably.
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Re: LLUB.N0000 (CHEVRON LUBRICANTS LANKA PLC)

Post by smallville on Thu Aug 10, 2017 7:24 pm

Some ppl expect LLUB closer to 100.. It seems like their market position has gone down..

Any solid info on a competitor analysis. Laugfs has been busily advertising for last 6 months noh?

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Re: LLUB.N0000 (CHEVRON LUBRICANTS LANKA PLC)

Post by yellow knife on Mon Aug 14, 2017 9:01 am

LLUB was having a tough time with YP Government. Their annual report mentioned that market is too small to open up. However these big companies of US based are strong enough to reverse negativity...


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Mar 14, 2016 - ... to the government's proposal to open up the market and remove lubricants from ... The Chief Executive Officer of Chevron Lubricants Lanka PLC (Chevron), ... Dr. Kishu Gomes warned the move to further liberalize the market would ... “Hence I propose to liberalize the lubricant market and I encourage the .


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Mar 10, 2016 - “The government's proposal to open up the lubricant market and ... Gomes says the market may be at risk of further fragmentation with 13 .

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Re: LLUB.N0000 (CHEVRON LUBRICANTS LANKA PLC)

Post by yellow knife on Mon Aug 14, 2017 9:33 am

One should also note that former finance minister Ravi Karunanayaka was adamant on opening up many industries and was using the term crony capitalists for such firms.

I believe his fate of first getting out of Finance Minister post was not purely on bond issue. Many issues like LLUB, TILE and aluminum would have made him pay the price.

We were evaluating LLUB iwith the result of Ravi's era. Now that era is no more.

One should keep an open eye on politics in stock investing. This is why we discuss politics here.

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Sep 30, 2016 - In the automotive lubricants market segment the highest growth is ... by Minister of Finance Ravi Karunanayake, to authorise Public Utilities ..


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Nov 24, 2015 - Sri Lanka's lubricants market may soon loosen up. Sri Lanka's Finance Minister Ravi Karunanayake has proposed that lubricants, as well as ... local companies to compete with countries like Singapore, which is an open port

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Re: LLUB.N0000 (CHEVRON LUBRICANTS LANKA PLC)

Post by Ethical Trader on Sat Aug 19, 2017 11:28 am

Thanks YK for sharing the vital facts affecting LLUB crash. Any way, LLUB was also over valued needing some form of correction.
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Interim Financial Statements as at 30th September 2017

Post by Rana on Thu Oct 19, 2017 6:09 pm

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Re: LLUB.N0000 (CHEVRON LUBRICANTS LANKA PLC)

Post by guruji on Thu Oct 19, 2017 10:30 pm

Earnings going downhill

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Re: LLUB.N0000 (CHEVRON LUBRICANTS LANKA PLC)

Post by CK on Fri Oct 20, 2017 7:05 am

This will go below 100..
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Re: LLUB.N0000 (CHEVRON LUBRICANTS LANKA PLC)

Post by First Guy on Fri Oct 20, 2017 7:46 am

Earnings better than June quarter. All is not that bad. Are you really going to look at one or two quarters and change perspective of an investment?

Not applicable if you bought for short term trading.
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Re: LLUB.N0000 (CHEVRON LUBRICANTS LANKA PLC)

Post by කිත්සිරි ද සිල්වා on Fri Oct 20, 2017 9:28 am

It will bounce back and I am holding onto it.
(Like the Plantation sector, those who held despite against so-called experts' advice came out winners finally).
First Guy wrote:Earnings better than June quarter. All is not that bad. Are you really going to look at one or two quarters and change the perspective of an investment?

Not applicable if you bought for short-term trading.
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Re: LLUB.N0000 (CHEVRON LUBRICANTS LANKA PLC)

Post by Ethical Trader on Fri Oct 20, 2017 10:31 am

Current decline is associated with the loss of market share, declining revenue and profits (mostly due to cheap oil & floods) coupled with heavy selling by foreigners.

However, this is a very good dividend payer and a most sought after share by many investors. Watch the decline, be patient and carefully pick in small quantities until the price settles down around Rs: 100/=
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Re: LLUB.N0000 (CHEVRON LUBRICANTS LANKA PLC)

Post by කිත්සිරි ද සිල්වා on Fri Oct 20, 2017 10:35 am

Yesterday morning when it started to move, I was wondering who got the smell of the dividend first.
Authorities should investigate those who have bought shares early in the day to see if any insider trading is involved.
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Re: LLUB.N0000 (CHEVRON LUBRICANTS LANKA PLC)

Post by Ethical Trader on Fri Oct 20, 2017 10:36 am

Agree with Kith & FG. There is nothing to be worried. If any one got caught at higher prices, average down in small quantities.
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