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» ඩොලරයේ විකුණුම් මිල රු. 164 ඉක්මවයි
Yesterday at 2:42 pm by yellow knife

» BLI.N0000 ( Bimputh Finance PLC )
Yesterday at 10:47 am by yellow knife

» UAL.N0000 ( UNION ASSURANCE PLC )
Sun Sep 16, 2018 6:13 pm by Senarath67

» අනං මනං! #/+?.<>
Sun Sep 16, 2018 11:31 am by Yin-Yang

» CAL Securities Facilitates First Cross-Border Share Transaction by a Sri Lankan Stockbroker
Sat Sep 15, 2018 11:04 pm by serene

» මහ බැංකුව රු. බිලියන 60 ක බැඳුම්කර විකුණයි
Fri Sep 14, 2018 12:48 pm by Ethical Trader

» ඩුනාමිස් කොටස් මිල 90% කින් ඉහළට. වැඩි අයිතිය ජනශක්ති අත්පත් කර ගනී
Fri Sep 14, 2018 7:49 am by serene

» නිදහස ලැබීමෙන් පසු රු. ට්‍රිලියන 1.9 ක වැඩිම ණය ආපසු ගෙවීම මෙම වසරේ දී – මංගල
Thu Sep 13, 2018 6:44 pm by Ethical Trader

» ණය අපසු ගෙවීමට අඩු පීඩාකාරී ප්‍රතිපත්ති විකල්ප පවතින්නේ නම් සමාජ වියදම් කපා හැරීම නොකළ යුතුයි – UN විශේෂඥයා පවසයි
Wed Sep 12, 2018 6:14 pm by Ethical Trader

» Banking Sector Outlook-
Wed Sep 12, 2018 8:17 am by serene

» Dividend Announcement
Tue Sep 11, 2018 7:45 am by serene

» Sri Lankan central bank rejects currency crisis report
Tue Sep 11, 2018 7:31 am by serene

» LOFC Initiating Coverage - STRONG BUY - 29 03 17 - FC Research
Sat Sep 08, 2018 1:53 am by stockback

» අසාමාන්‍ය කොටස් මිල උච්ඡාවචනය ගැන MTD Walkers කරුණු පහදයි
Wed Sep 05, 2018 6:26 pm by Ethical Trader

» ශ්‍රී ලංකා රුපියල
Wed Sep 05, 2018 6:24 pm by Ethical Trader

» සුමල්ගේ සමාගමට කැබිනට් අනුමැතිය. රුපියල් බිලියන 2.7 ක නිවාස ව්‍යාපෘතියක්
Wed Sep 05, 2018 6:22 pm by Ethical Trader

» ධම්මික ලංකා සෙරමික් සභාපති ධූරයෙන් ඉල්ලා අස්වෙයි
Wed Sep 05, 2018 2:26 pm by nihal123

» Sri Lanka car registration up in July, tax not yet hit
Mon Sep 03, 2018 5:14 pm by Ethical Trader

» 2018 මාස 08 කදී කොළඹ කොටස් 4.54% කින් පසුබසී
Mon Sep 03, 2018 5:11 pm by Ethical Trader

» Sri Lanka rupee ends steady, stocks flat
Mon Sep 03, 2018 7:26 am by The Invisible

» Sri Lanka's August inflation in Colombo hits 5.9-pct
Mon Sep 03, 2018 7:24 am by The Invisible

» ජනාධිපතිවරණයට තවත් අපේක්ෂකයෙක්. සුමල්, ධම්මිකව යෝජනා කරයි VIDEO August, 30, 2018
Mon Sep 03, 2018 7:22 am by The Invisible

» Pictures & Stories ........
Sat Sep 01, 2018 6:57 pm by malanp

» සිංහ රෝහලට අසාධ්‍යයි
Fri Aug 31, 2018 7:56 pm by nihal123

» මාස 06 කදී වෙළෙඳ හිඟය ඩොලර් මිලියන 5,700 ඉක්මවයි
Tue Aug 28, 2018 8:01 pm by spw19721

» Billionaire Ashok Pathirage controlled Asiri Health to launch an MBBS degree Program
Tue Aug 28, 2018 5:26 pm by Ethical Trader

» දිගින් දිගටම වැඩි වෙමින් ඇති උද්ධමනය ගැන ආර්ථික විශේෂඥයින් අනතුරු අඟවයි
Mon Aug 27, 2018 11:47 am by Ethical Trader

» මැල්කම් ටර්න්බුල් පහකිරීමෙන් පසු ඕස්ට්‍රේලියාවේ අගමැති ධූරයට ස්කොට් මොරිසන්
Fri Aug 24, 2018 6:06 pm by Ethical Trader

» Sri Lanka rupee opens at new low, stocks gain 0.15-pct
Fri Aug 24, 2018 5:55 pm by Ethical Trader

» Sri Lanka's John Keells fine-tunes hotel strategy
Fri Aug 24, 2018 5:53 pm by Ethical Trader

» Sri Lanka's The Finance struggle to recover Ceylinco assets
Fri Aug 24, 2018 5:51 pm by Ethical Trader

» Sri Lanka increases planting subsidies for rubber
Thu Aug 23, 2018 10:34 am by The Invisible

» Sri Lanka eyes Euro, Yen and Renminbi bonds to cut costs
Thu Aug 23, 2018 10:33 am by The Invisible

» Sri Lanka to start first boat service in Colombo canals with navy
Thu Aug 23, 2018 10:32 am by The Invisible

» ලොකුම සමාගම් ලැයිස්තුව අලුත් වෙයි. ජෝන් කීල්ස් අභිබවා CTC අංක 1 ට
Thu Aug 23, 2018 8:41 am by Ethical Trader

» යෙන්, යුවාන්, යූරෝ බැඳුම්කර අලෙවියට ආණ්ඩුවේ සූදානමක්
Thu Aug 23, 2018 8:39 am by Ethical Trader

» හැරී ගේ මීළඟ ඉලක්කය
Wed Aug 22, 2018 5:23 pm by Ethical Trader

» Sri Lanka pension fund to value hotel stake eyed by HPL Hotels
Wed Aug 22, 2018 11:29 am by The Invisible

» Sri Lanka's Hemas Holdings profitability seen improving: Fitch
Wed Aug 22, 2018 11:27 am by The Invisible

» Sri Lanka's LMF to invest Rs2bn in new dairy farm
Wed Aug 22, 2018 11:26 am by The Invisible

» Sri Lanka’s national inflation accelerates to 3.4-pct in July
Wed Aug 22, 2018 11:23 am by The Invisible

» Sri Lanka rupee ends at new low, stocks flat
Wed Aug 22, 2018 11:22 am by The Invisible

» Elsewhere vs SL : Honesty, Social responsibility , Word twisting and Decency
Tue Aug 21, 2018 11:00 pm by Expert

» මහජන බැංකුවෙන් ජෙහාන් ගේ සමාගමට දුන් රු. බිලියන 10 ගැන මහ බැංකුව මෙසේ කියයි
Tue Aug 21, 2018 9:26 pm by Rana

» මැරියට් ආයෝජනයෙන් ඉවත් වන්නේ ප්‍රමාණවත් ප්‍රතිලාභයක් ලැබුණොත් පමණයි – EPF අවධාරණය කරයි
Tue Aug 21, 2018 6:07 pm by Ethical Trader

» Sri Lanka to charge 7-pct tax from banks on added value
Mon Aug 20, 2018 5:51 pm by Ethical Trader

» Sri Lanka rupee opens weaker, stock gain
Mon Aug 20, 2018 5:49 pm by Ethical Trader

» Sri Lanka's EPF delay holding up hotel sale: East West
Mon Aug 20, 2018 5:49 pm by Ethical Trader

» Sri Lanka hotel room price controls not removed: Minister
Mon Aug 20, 2018 5:46 pm by Ethical Trader

» මොරිසන්, කොටස් වෙළෙඳපොළට සමුදෙයි
Mon Aug 20, 2018 5:40 pm by Ethical Trader

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SRI LANKA FINANCE SECTOR - HOLD - Mar 2017 - FC Research

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SRI LANKA FINANCE SECTOR - HOLD - Mar 2017 - FC Research

Post by CSE.SAS on Tue Apr 11, 2017 7:18 pm

FC Research expects finance sector to face moderately tough conditions to operate with thinning margins and new LTV regulations leading to slower and previous but moderate credit growth. Despite slow economic conditions rise in NPLs are likely to be slow amidst price appreciation in vehicle prices as bulk of the lending is attached to vehicles. We believe the larger finance companies have an advantage with lower cost of funding and large conversion levels from leases to loans which improves re-pricing abilities at times of rising interest rates. Sector Recommendation: HOLD

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Margins to dip but Credit Growth to remain moderate: With rising interest rates and bulk of the lending attached to leases finance sector is likely to experience a dip in margins while credit growth is expected to remain moderate around 16-18% despite deceleration from 2016. New LTV regulations also likely support the slower credit in 2017E.

Upbeat second-hand market vehicle prices to support Lower NPL provisions: Despite rise interest rates and slower economic conditions FC Research expects NPL provisions of finance companies to continue to stay on the back significant price appreciations in the second hand vehicle market. Higher vehicle prices are likely to deter related borrowers from default while even if defaulted higher vehicles prices ensures finance companies of eliminating losses and recovering bad debts.

Selected larger finance companies to perform: Finance companies with better rating and larger asset base tend to have a lower cost of funding while some finance companies have already converted significant portions from loans to leases enabling them to re-price part of the assets in line with interest rates. These two conditions being satisfied enables selected finance companies specifically identified as PLC, CFIN, LFIN, COCR and LOFC to perform better in tough environment. We expect the selected companies to provide an average total return on equal weightage of c.51% during a 12 month period.

*Disclosure:

First Capital Group and its affiliates does not hold any shares in PLC, CFIN, LFIN, COCR, and LOFC. Neither First Capital Group nor its affiliates have traded in the shares of PLC, CFIN, LFIN, COCR, and LOFC in the three trading days prior to this document, and will not trade in the shares of PLC, CFIN, LFIN, COCR, and LOFC for three trading days following the issue of this document

CSE.SAS

Posts : 263
Join date : 2014-02-23

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