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The Investor Sentiment - Equity and investments forum for Sri Lankans

The Lankan Investor Forum - A more respectable and reasonable place for members to discuss matters regarding the CSEThe Lankan Investor Forum - A more respectable and reasonable place for members to discuss matters regarding the CSE

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    How to identify a stock market bottom

    Yin-Yang
    Yin-Yang


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    How to identify a stock market bottom - Page 6 Empty Re: How to identify a stock market bottom

    Post by Yin-Yang Tue Jan 24, 2017 5:57 am

    CK wrote:
    Yin-Yang wrote:
    CK wrote:Sometimes when  S or R strongly breaks, it will become vice versa. How you explain it?

    Example ?
    Sorry for late reply.  Take 80 level as an example for gran

    Breaking level for GRAN has been 87; it could be found easily and predictably. We can take it up later when trying to identify the 'end of plateau'. .

    [The reason is also obvious; When ice is melting, the temp will never go above 0 C. When all ice has become water, the temp will not go below 0 C. It is the heat absorption capacity of water.]
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    yaka


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    Post by yaka Tue Jan 24, 2017 10:31 am

    any time frame for RICH?
    Yin-Yang
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    Post by Yin-Yang Tue Jan 24, 2017 10:39 am

    Feb to May
    8 to 9/-
    CK
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    Post by CK Tue Jan 24, 2017 12:05 pm

    thanks YY. When gran beaten down on march last yr, and when it recover 80-82 had a high resistant. Now 80 level give a good support.
    Yin-Yang
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    Post by Yin-Yang Tue Jan 24, 2017 12:19 pm

    I would pick Gran 78-80 and drop near 110 this year.
    Is is nearing a bottom now.
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    Post by Backstage Tue Jan 24, 2017 12:48 pm

    Water, water everywhere not a drop to drink.

    Waiting impatiently for next step.
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    Post by Yin-Yang Tue Jan 24, 2017 12:59 pm

    ||| impatient|||

    Single word for 'consistent loss of money n the market'
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    Post by Backstage Tue Jan 24, 2017 1:06 pm

    clown
    Yin-Yang
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    Post by Yin-Yang Tue Jan 24, 2017 7:51 pm

    Now, an exercise;

    Look at SAMP
    Observe from Early 2016
    Where should it be by April this year?
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    Post by mymoney Wed Jan 25, 2017 10:43 am

    Many shares trading bellow net asset value and bellow P.E ratio 5,

    Those who are believing the countries future ,

    Can be surely rich(Millionaires) when market recovered that expected level ,

    Who has that gut feeling ?
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    Post by Backstage Wed Jan 25, 2017 11:56 am

    Yin-Yang wrote:Now, an exercise;

    Look at SAMP
    Observe from Early 2016
    Where should it be by April this year?

    I see the chart but do not know how to identify end of plateau.
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    Post by Yin-Yang Wed Jan 25, 2017 12:24 pm

    We are already at the end.
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    Post by Backstage Wed Jan 25, 2017 12:31 pm

    Yin-Yang wrote:We are already at the end.

    OK, but how do you calculate that all the ice has melted and that its now going to boil merrily ? Ice quantity vs intensity of heat applied ?
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    Post by Yin-Yang Wed Jan 25, 2017 12:52 pm

    That we'll take up soon; after me seen the audience's ability to identify the pattern.
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    Post by Backstage Wed Jan 25, 2017 1:07 pm

    TJ seems to fit the pattern nice. HHL,WATA somewhat but not quite. Rich in first step plateau.
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    Post by Yin-Yang Wed Jan 25, 2017 1:16 pm

    Good!

    TJL is becoming steam.

    WATA has completed one cycle and at the start of a fresh one. It is big block of Ice, just about to melt.

    HHL Steaming.

    How about SAMP ?
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    Post by Backstage Wed Jan 25, 2017 2:19 pm

    SAMP has finished melting and has been absorbing heat for a while.
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    Post by Yin-Yang Wed Jan 25, 2017 3:12 pm

    Backstage wrote:SAMP has finished melting and has been absorbing heat for a while.

    When had the melting started?
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    Post by dhanurrox Wed Jan 25, 2017 7:47 pm

    CARG nice accumilation
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    Post by Yin-Yang Wed Jan 25, 2017 9:06 pm

    CCS is at an end now; can give 20% in next 6 months.

    Anyone see the pattern?
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    Post by Backstage Thu Jan 26, 2017 5:05 pm

    Yin-Yang wrote:
    Backstage wrote:SAMP has finished melting and has been absorbing  heat for a while.

    When had the melting started?

    August 2016 ?
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    Post by Yin-Yang Thu Jan 26, 2017 5:15 pm

    I can see that you see something.

    As what I see, I would call it boiling [the second plateau].

    April,May, June had the melting, August started the boiling which looks finished now.

    Next what we can expect is the final rise before things get cooled off for some time.

    ++++++++++

    Want to know how to estimate when and where it can peak next ?
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    Post by Backstage Thu Jan 26, 2017 5:19 pm

    OK. So do we take traded volumes into consideration ?
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    Post by Yin-Yang Thu Jan 26, 2017 7:40 pm

    No Need.

    You can do it visually; having a good look at the 'water' pattern.

    Like to give a try yourself first?
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    Post by Backstage Fri Jan 27, 2017 9:45 am

    yes yes yes bounce

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